South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc63097f00f1f828d0c12b47aab704ef6f3096d1e2763c1b5ae7383d8c2f236b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 60c | 10,208$6,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.37 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 4,789$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.39 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,995$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.96 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 53c | 1,855$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.58 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 1,829$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 1,076$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.24 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 32c | 909.38$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.38 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 32c | 738.1$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 24c | 600$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.98 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 48c | 588.21$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 26c | 530$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.2 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 48c | 505.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 244.03$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…162ebacked No | 37c | 206.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 202.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 49c | 185.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 174.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 148.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 53c | 139.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 71c | 133.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 42c | 115.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 51c | 94.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 79.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 48c | 78.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 19c | 78.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 49c | 73.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 48c | 54.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 25c | 52.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 49c | 46.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 49c | 43.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked No | 77c | 40.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 66cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 35.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked No | 73c | 35.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 49c | 33.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 32.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…b88ebacked Yes | 54c | 32.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 70c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 50c | 26.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…6575backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 61c | 22.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…e555backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 52c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-03?No won
- Will CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.