South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f16e7556e6fa3f1500cd6fce304e831e6305c8adecbb39de3359e51be68ca22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 51c | 16,232$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.63 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 10,050$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 9,477$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 53c | 5,622$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.8 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 4,076$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.18 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 931.1$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 16c | 732.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 38c | 721$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 410.64$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Yes | 61c | 393.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 292.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.17 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 287.94$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 21c | 174.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 25c | 167$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 160.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 13c | 149.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 55c | 144.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 45c | 135.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 18c | 131.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…7cf0backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…0843backed Yes | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…3894backed Yes | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bf…38c6backed Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…8a8fbacked Yes | 17c | 108$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…9758backed Yes | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…ec25backed Yes | 17c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…6382backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebb…486cbacked Yes | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c0…f96ebacked Yes | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50de…570abacked Yes | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Yes | 49c | 85.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 83.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 18c | 83.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 71c | 76.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 16c | 75.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…8ec3backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Yes | 47c | 64.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 64.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…985cbacked Yes | 48c | 61.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 62c | 44.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Yes | 50c | 43.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked No | 47c | 35.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 47c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed No | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 47c | 29.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Yes | 59c | 17.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.