South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc9a6bad9b37939bc7af65ce42a3c1c60b49745c1f81f6ab28772351f92d513d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 69c | 3,624$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.43 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 2,607$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.01 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed No | 70c | 538.38$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 441.31$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 404.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 373$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 70c | 250.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 31c | 215.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 32c | 168$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 166.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 31c | 164.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 33c | 152.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 17c | 131.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 32c | 131$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 32c | 110.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 109.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 102.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 46c | 102.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 47c | 90.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 51c | 81.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 25c | 75.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 36c | 67.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 27c | 67.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 75c | 58.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…a800backed Yes | 29c | 56.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 48.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 30c | 38.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 56c | 35.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…3a65backed Yes | 71c | 31.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Yes | 33c | 30.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed Yes | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 52c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…34a8backed Yes | 53c | 22.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 69c | 19.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 66cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-03?No won
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.