Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04b2c62e1ec06a107b6025324b4e1fb8f77f4c2fbe5bf7b1966c2f37aee7142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 18,594$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.31 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 17,425$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.14 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 13,429$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.78 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 16c | 9,674$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.95 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 15c | 8,637$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.72 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 78c | 8,504$6,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.09 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 12c | 7,598$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.58 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 7,380$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.73 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 20c | 6,465$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 9c | 6,239$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.46 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 14c | 6,237$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.39 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 9c | 6,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 5,523$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.86 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 19c | 5,111$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.07 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,983$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 8c | 2,969$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 2,481$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 11c | 1,422$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 14c | 1,253$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 1,071$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 10c | 1,040$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 914.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 894.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 11c | 874.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 12c | 835.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 9c | 800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 13c | 787.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…0156backed Yes | 23c | 661.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 652$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 17c | 647$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 10c | 631.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 5c | 580.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…1a81backed Yes | 12c | 501.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…6e95backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 487.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 65c | 462.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 9c | 445.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 8c | 437$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 10c | 430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 15c | 401.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…5eb3backed Yes | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…bb0fbacked Yes | 10c | 395.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Yes | 12c | 334.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 8c | 332.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 21c | 313.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 9c | 277.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 11c | 222.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed No | 76c | 214.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…6d34backed No | 75c | 200.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…c523backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 10c | 197.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 10c | 194.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 11c | 192.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 12c | 172.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed Yes | 18c | 160.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 12c | 150.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 136.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 80c | 129$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 9c | 126.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Yes | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…162ebacked Yes | 14c | 112.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 110.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 14c | 107.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…d7e9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 22c | 90.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 27c | 75.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…17b4backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.