Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e3fd8d145df6a5e6a089f006fc1ec589bdff214433f29c6f854ecb1384a6ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c8e…c91bbacked Yes | 76c | 19,376$14,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 11,690$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.77 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 6,411$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 51c | 6,279$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.48 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6632backed Yes | 64c | 6,010$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 27c | 4,959$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.89 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 3,779$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.16 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,585$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.25 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,297$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.44 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 38c | 2,171$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.67 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…18e1backed No | 1c | 2,001$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 14c | 1,286$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.71 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 70c | 1,029$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 17c | 969$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.27 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 30c | 756.62$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.22 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 710.08$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.2 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 74c | 704.43$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 40c | 702.34$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.34 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 673.05$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.52 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 45c | 656.75$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.65 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 14c | 577.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 79c | 503.94$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 455.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 67c | 448.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 70c | 446.58$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Yes | 70c | 409.55$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 74c | 403.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 397.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.25 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 309.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.13 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 242.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 79c | 216.59$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 53c | 213.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 35c | 210.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…fc32backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…c523backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 18c | 187.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 34c | 184.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 25c | 158.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.71 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 31c | 153.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Yes | 71c | 150.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 14c | 148.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 35c | 115.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 108.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…ce11backed Yes | 44c | 104.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…5cfcbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 51c | 92.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…9592backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 78.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed No | 46c | 78.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…bb0fbacked Yes | 66c | 74.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 29c | 66.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…b626backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 52c | 58.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…30d4backed Yes | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 76c | 52.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 75c | 52.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -69%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 34.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…4a83backed Yes | 72c | 34.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…529ebacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…6695backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed No | 35c | 30.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Yes | 75c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 77c | 26.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…0ef2backed Yes | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…a6adbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 65c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 18.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…c689backed Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…4f81backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…f532backed Yes | 78c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.