Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994e4515010f8d132a33e78f9962b668f06e1ed96a516032e3566e59e588a5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,102,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,155,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,102,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 24c | 240,600$58,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,163.23 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 76c | 110,000$83,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,599.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 40,072$30,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,626.42 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 61c | 35,000$21,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,249.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 77c | 30,931$23,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,816.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 26,676$8,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,806.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 25,907$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,766.12 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 23c | 25,478$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,617.71 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 76c | 21,659$16,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,478.86 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 24c | 21,280$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,172.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 25c | 19,223$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,417.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 76c | 17,986$13,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,672.12 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 76c | 17,105$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 31c | 15,886$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,889.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 15,398$11,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,448.46 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 24c | 14,622$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,112.64 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 70c | 14,206$9,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,906.85 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6632backed Yes | 77c | 14,184$10,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,921.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 23c | 13,347$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250.12 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 24c | 12,168$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.42 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 74c | 11,843$8,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,746.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 76c | 11,305$8,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,591.68 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 75c | 11,206$8,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,402.82 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 24c | 10,951$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,284.42 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 76c | 10,608$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,062.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…18e1backed Yes | 0c | 10,518$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 24c | 9,946$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 70c | 9,921$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 8,028$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.14 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 76c | 8,000$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 24c | 6,394$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.23 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.94 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 33c | 5,999$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 24c | 5,740$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 68c | 5,588$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 36c | 5,298$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.43 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 23c | 5,080$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 4,996$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.8 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 24c | 4,620$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 56c | 4,459$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.52 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 76c | 4,100$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…be97backed Yes | 76c | 4,079$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.96 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 23c | 3,979$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.34 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 25c | 3,511$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 23c | 3,464$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…1457backed Yes | 65c | 3,348$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 76c | 3,217$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 62c | 3,217$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.92 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 65c | 3,081$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.49 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.93 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 73c | 2,820$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e342backed Yes | 76c | 2,761$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 73c | 2,732$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 25c | 2,640$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 77c | 2,555$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.29 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 63c | 2,494$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.31 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 69c | 2,400$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 24c | 2,382$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 50c | 2,284$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.92 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 25c | 2,209$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,118$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 77c | 2,070$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…48e8backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 25c | 1,992$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 23c | 1,903$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 1,811$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.78 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,789$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.6 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 24c | 1,767$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 12c | 1,733$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,727$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 68c | 1,697$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.71 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 23c | 1,664$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.04 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 77c | 1,626$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.99 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 24c | 1,563$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.88 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 24c | 1,546$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Yes | 35c | 1,504$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…42f1backed Yes | 76c | 1,439$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,438$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 1,430$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.8 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 77c | 1,429$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…4fa1backed Yes | 44c | 1,420$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 30c | 1,400$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.85 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 30c | 1,333$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 23c | 1,293$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.79 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Yes | 76c | 1,280$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 78cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e6…8d1dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,269$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.