TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Top Esports, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc153…a179backed Weibo Gaming24c26,237$6,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,347.222441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Weibo Gaming21c12,695$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.11,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Weibo Gaming70c10,164$7,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,113.521448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Top Esports36c9,537$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,139.661,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed Top Esports75c7,938$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.894170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd837…85d2backed Top Esports62c7,479$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Top Esports53c6,583$3,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.8814056.4%79 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Top Esports43c5,832$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.0825751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Weibo Gaming37c5,643$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.810653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Weibo Gaming58c5,419$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.811,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Weibo Gaming5c4,870$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5229927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Weibo Gaming67c3,827$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.341,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Top Esports36c2,874$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.131644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Weibo Gaming35c2,571$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.514153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Weibo Gaming39c2,523$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.1575342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Weibo Gaming46c2,267$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.1685046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Weibo Gaming53c2,267$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.1770443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Weibo Gaming69c2,218$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.3124147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Top Esports42c2,029$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.3413345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Top Esports55c2,012$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.426139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Weibo Gaming60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Top Esports65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Top Esports44c1,991$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.971,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a3…3599backed Weibo Gaming11c1,840$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Top Esports32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.521939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Top Esports42c1,501$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.582,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8069…42dfbacked Weibo Gaming1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Weibo Gaming69c1,448$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.3659558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Weibo Gaming37c1,446$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9318741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Weibo Gaming67c1,409$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.161,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Top Esports35c1,402$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.4112137.2%45 W · 76 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Weibo Gaming46c1,339$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.0485442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Weibo Gaming47c1,317$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.1550643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Weibo Gaming61c1,305$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Weibo Gaming48c1,300$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.761,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Top Esports37c1,250$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.251,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1301…cd9abacked Top Esports79c1,157$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.484247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports29c1,030$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.283,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Weibo Gaming2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d5…59cebacked Weibo Gaming1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf0…ea00backed Top Esports55c988.29$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.533748.6%18 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Top Esports11c903.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.2223915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Weibo Gaming68c884.74$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Weibo Gaming68c800$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.411,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Weibo Gaming51c790.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked Top Esports62c790.11$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5918065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f20…e97fbacked Weibo Gaming16c757.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Weibo Gaming18c755.95$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1725038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Weibo Gaming69c725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Weibo Gaming51c719$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.662,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Weibo Gaming71c706.72$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.1526645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd34…a1d7backed Top Esports53c701.2$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.964949%24 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3adf…f598backed Weibo Gaming69c699.99$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578f…bb82backed Top Esports29c699.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Weibo Gaming17c695.81$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.741,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Weibo Gaming71c694.67$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49170752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Top Esports35c678.76$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.3510761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Weibo Gaming55c649.99$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Weibo Gaming30c634.9$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4723253.4%124 W · 108 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Top Esports26c619.7$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.6169041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Weibo Gaming47c619.15$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29143151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports30c614.96$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.472,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Top Esports37c604.19$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.551,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd796…3865backed Weibo Gaming45c601$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.114247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1287…85adbacked Top Esports42c600$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed Weibo Gaming32c599.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19416660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Top Esports39c509.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.515846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Top Esports42c501.81$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.51,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Top Esports30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35067549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Weibo Gaming67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Weibo Gaming9c499.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed Weibo Gaming50c499.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.334647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Weibo Gaming67c499.97$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9863161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Top Esports53c478.53$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9535850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Top Esports74c477.92$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9216236.4%59 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Weibo Gaming71c475.56$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.686560%39 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Top Esports30c456.56$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1112937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Weibo Gaming11c428.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ce…2054backed Top Esports61c404.06$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Weibo Gaming5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Weibo Gaming5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014330.8%44 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53d7…ca8bbacked Weibo Gaming70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Top Esports35c382.67$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2724436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed Weibo Gaming76c371.29$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Top Esports55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6474344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Top Esports56c363.61$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.89850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6739…7b70backed Top Esports53c356.6$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1662846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Weibo Gaming55c354.1$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.155933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Weibo Gaming57c348.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5d5…648fbacked Weibo Gaming42c341.9$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433225%8 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf98…e564backed Weibo Gaming18c341.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.791241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d5…f86cbacked Top Esports31c334.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.19136.3%33 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Weibo Gaming72c333$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7620764.3%133 W · 74 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Weibo Gaming78c328.91$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.470162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Weibo Gaming32c327.02$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3625639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Weibo Gaming63c317.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Top Esports32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.543539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Top Esports40c301$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.623751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Top Esports46c298.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.99745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Top Esports71c297.43$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.871,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.