TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Giron

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gironof Darderi, Giron
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0919…fcbcbacked Darderi0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed Giron68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Darderi33c9,298$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.541,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Giron46c7,706$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.31,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Darderi30c7,247$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.5410443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Giron65c5,672$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Giron65c5,321$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.3264540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Darderi69c5,120$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.912,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Giron69c5,079$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.2359151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Giron67c4,985$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.143051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darderi38c4,662$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.528,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Darderi32c4,037$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.084252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Giron48c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,06018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x601a…3506backed Darderi30c3,965$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.350%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Darderi39c3,963$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.8765157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Darderi30c3,705$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.639144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Darderi30c3,649$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.6728338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Giron70c3,576$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.0248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Darderi32c3,515$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.5924846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Darderi32c3,195$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.372,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Darderi68c3,019$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.114940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Giron29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13011123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Darderi70c2,851$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Giron52c2,724$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.642,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Giron71c2,542$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.426043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron62c1,985$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.212,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Giron70c1,953$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.1336554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Giron32c1,652$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.716937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Darderi31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Giron34c1,571$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.4119846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Darderi32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Giron64c1,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Darderi32c1,461$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.53944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Darderi52c1,414$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.6437444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Giron45c1,401$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.3744754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Darderi32c1,387$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.965036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giron36c1,371$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.4611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Giron70c1,307$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1762545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Giron67c1,249$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.227,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Darderi5c1,225$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.552,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giron59c1,158$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.482,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Darderi45c1,151$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.232,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Giron67c1,018$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Darderi15c863.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Darderi29c809.79$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Giron29c780$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Giron70c711.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Giron69c654.79$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.321,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Darderi31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Darderi30c631.39$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Darderi32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Giron67c607.1$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Darderi16c602.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Darderi2c600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.613816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Darderi51c593.82$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giron69c590$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.91,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Giron66c577.08$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7716150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1da…dffbbacked Darderi31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Giron34c497.62$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4340141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Darderi31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Darderi30c481$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.318548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Darderi5c468.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.191565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Darderi52c461.35$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1935032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1a…f04fbacked Darderi31c451.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Darderi49c416.39$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2822236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb378…5cd7backed Darderi56c402.98$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Darderi20c393$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5918247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked Giron27c380.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.252157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf736…1406backed Giron42c374.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Giron67c359.5$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8719167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Giron71c352.34$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.241266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Darderi71c348$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9565558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Giron62c336.85$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.357,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Darderi31c325$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7513554.8%74 W · 61 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Giron40c322.78$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7839850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Darderi4c321.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.18934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Darderi32c320$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.442141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Darderi32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Giron64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Darderi29c304.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4310247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Darderi34c302.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.67,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Darderi49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Darderi5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Darderi4c295.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Giron69c290$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.937339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Giron47c288.29$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.664461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Darderi70c285.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x614b…2509backed Darderi69c269.89$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43f2…81c3backed Darderi32c268.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.191250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc3…675bbacked Darderi57c264.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4513763.5%87 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Darderi39c257.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Darderi21c252.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.881,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c88…d85dbacked Darderi31c251.06$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Darderi24c245.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9918241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ec…0fb5backed Darderi32c243.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Darderi42c238.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6427627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Darderi32c221.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Giron70c214.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2928754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Darderi69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384153.7%22 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f23…e2c8backed Giron71c194.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.921163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.