TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof FriendlyCampers, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FriendlyCampers41c8,214$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.0782143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Heroic71c7,825$5,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.761,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FriendlyCampers40c6,718$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.5960540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic67c6,601$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.8932348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic61c5,018$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.813,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Heroic75c4,821$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.542458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Heroic61c4,781$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.684072.5%29 W · 11 L+8.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Heroic63c3,900$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.234147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed FriendlyCampers35c3,420$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.637440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked FriendlyCampers27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9923932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf85a…b34fbacked Heroic54c2,756$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed FriendlyCampers42c2,656$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.0144743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FriendlyCampers25c1,994$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.961,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed FriendlyCampers46c1,765$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.935028%14 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Heroic63c1,600$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.5528644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FriendlyCampers30c1,586$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Heroic72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33622358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic57c1,110$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.331,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked FriendlyCampers51c1,000$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51132352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FriendlyCampers42c900$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3775,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ad…b1bebacked Heroic68c898.9$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.11118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked Heroic56c867.51$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.246045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed FriendlyCampers29c830.44$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8622761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FriendlyCampers27c816$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.781,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic63c756.59$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.182,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Heroic79c686.14$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.144151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic66c599.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0839851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Heroic70c574$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.258651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FriendlyCampers40c559.23$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.81,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed FriendlyCampers23c503.14$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7212752%66 W · 61 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed FriendlyCampers43c496.3$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.436637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22c5…1bdabacked FriendlyCampers14c449.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635018%9 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FriendlyCampers26c444.03$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11518336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Heroic53c444$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6815743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked FriendlyCampers54c368.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2f…6645backed FriendlyCampers12c340$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed FriendlyCampers20c331.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2245848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Heroic65c330$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.526553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Heroic67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9914744.9%66 W · 81 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Heroic66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10222564.9%146 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd33…6c0dbacked Heroic76c296.92$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.921747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Heroic77c284.35$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.547467.6%50 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Heroic72c278.61$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Heroic76c255.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3621343.7%93 W · 120 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked FriendlyCampers26c237.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3222931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed FriendlyCampers9c233.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdeb…4d84backed FriendlyCampers6c223.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed FriendlyCampers44c220$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3924649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…ab6abacked Heroic77c211.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed FriendlyCampers23c210$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.311337.2%42 W · 71 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FriendlyCampers25c204.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0526836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…f441backed FriendlyCampers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5498…126fbacked FriendlyCampers42c189.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805151%26 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked FriendlyCampers47c155.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7320433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5114…8346backed Heroic66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Heroic77c133.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6514654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed Heroic76c132.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.113557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…ef23backed FriendlyCampers24c121.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Heroic79c101.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8861854.9%339 W · 279 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Heroic75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Heroic51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked FriendlyCampers18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810111.9%12 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed FriendlyCampers42c94.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8911344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c88…d85dbacked FriendlyCampers43c84.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.611540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed FriendlyCampers30c83.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258842%37 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Heroic71c83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0717050.6%86 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed FriendlyCampers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed FriendlyCampers30c77.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.266735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Heroic71c74.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2418265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Heroic63c68.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.254165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Heroic74c66.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2860857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0081…dc8bbacked Heroic74c63.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3910251%52 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151d…b612backed FriendlyCampers48c62.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcecc…affebacked FriendlyCampers25c61.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed Heroic50c60.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3514237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f47…fc05backed Heroic56c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked FriendlyCampers34c56.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.253525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FriendlyCampers33c54.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3329128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Heroic48c52.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3217538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked FriendlyCampers51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed FriendlyCampers39c48.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.726532.3%21 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x891c…ef89backed Heroic77c48.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.055567.3%37 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked FriendlyCampers26c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4813044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397c…49e3backed Heroic80c42.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.53450%17 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5c…7b89backed FriendlyCampers25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed Heroic69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Heroic79c38.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1342845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed FriendlyCampers28c38.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Heroic78c36.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.121070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Heroic71c36.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6239468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9589…5b36backed Heroic50c34.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Heroic47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.965149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked FriendlyCampers34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.282646.2%382 W · 444 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x364f…162ebacked FriendlyCampers46c29.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ad…2dccbacked Heroic74c29.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7719…80b6backed Heroic78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53073.3%22 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Heroic73c23.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3214233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Heroic60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88951.7%46 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2315…39b1backed Heroic71c14.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.142673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.