CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e08622f8cbb2042b07e986f819fbeebe6bf6367c56aeb283b08c2c6eff10341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof FriendlyCampers, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed FriendlyCampers | 37c | 9,922$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed FriendlyCampers | 38c | 6,570$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.55 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic | 68c | 5,902$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.53 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Heroic | 62c | 4,805$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.47 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 70c | 4,534$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.27 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 64c | 4,448$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 64c | 3,058$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.41 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked FriendlyCampers | 36c | 1,172$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.91 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked FriendlyCampers | 8c | 1,030$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FriendlyCampers | 36c | 980.44$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.96 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked FriendlyCampers | 23c | 656.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked FriendlyCampers | 20c | 627.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed FriendlyCampers | 43c | 516.28$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FriendlyCampers | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Heroic | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic | 70c | 432.73$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Heroic | 70c | 400.96$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Heroic | 63c | 360.85$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Heroic | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed FriendlyCampers | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed FriendlyCampers | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed FriendlyCampers | 28c | 296.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed FriendlyCampers | 40c | 266.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic | 63c | 236$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Heroic | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce5…8fa2backed FriendlyCampers | 30c | 197.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FriendlyCampers | 30c | 185.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked FriendlyCampers | 27c | 175.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Heroic | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…b1aebacked FriendlyCampers | 35c | 144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Heroic | 70c | 143.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FriendlyCampers | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 69c | 116.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Heroic | 75c | 95.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Heroic | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FriendlyCampers | 25c | 84.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed FriendlyCampers | 34c | 80.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Heroic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed FriendlyCampers | 25c | 78.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…4c34backed Heroic | 64c | 75.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…6645backed FriendlyCampers | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…ef23backed Heroic | 64c | 68.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed FriendlyCampers | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…c013backed FriendlyCampers | 39c | 60.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Heroic | 63c | 47.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…a71bbacked FriendlyCampers | 30c | 38.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…2dccbacked Heroic | 75c | 37.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed Heroic | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Heroic | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…fc05backed Heroic | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Heroic | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Heroic | 63c | 25.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed Heroic | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 75c | 21.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Heroic | 68c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic (BO3)Heroic won
- Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.