TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ab3…6adf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.17
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.36
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$468.11
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.56
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.83
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$96.62
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.52
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.42
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.68
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ACROBATS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.55
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.73
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$589.16
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$212.77
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$231.05
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.3%+$63.14
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$45
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$213
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$38
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$63.72
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+116.2%+$69.71
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$84.8
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,928
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$379.2
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.4%+$98.77
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+145.1%+$290.21
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100.2%+$200.41
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.5%+$170.97
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.38
Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)backed Exeter City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.44
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+77.4%+$116.14
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$262.55
Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$95
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$60.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$40.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$66.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$816.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.