Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a022e45a894976be87121c33cd75b9e2fe37b380987d3395582b4b3b66ceb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.97 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 75c | 8,591$6,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.46 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 8,479$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Under | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,555$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 36c | 1,378$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.78 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 22c | 1,189$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 64c | 1,105$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.01 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 38c | 782.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 45c | 701.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.01 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 22c | 604.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 559.28$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.28 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 62c | 486.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 36c | 450$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 76c | 428.04$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…a69abacked Over | 36c | 411.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb3…bf2ebacked Under | 64c | 409.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 43c | 327.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 314.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 36c | 257.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 246.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 78c | 244.19$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 42c | 237.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 22c | 232.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 57c | 170.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 167.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Over | 76c | 146.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 63c | 143.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 36c | 124.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Under | 21c | 120.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 71c | 92.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 87.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…2994backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…1504backed Under | 35c | 56.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 34c | 54.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…ffdfbacked Over | 36c | 53.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 74c | 48.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 48.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 38c | 42.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…2daebacked Over | 37c | 40.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…0d78backed Over | 37c | 38.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Over | 78c | 32.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4724…5239backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…f17abacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Under | 65c | 23.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.