Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x124d9288d0050178bf1c2270c4f82b36525378808858f3d8dc2ae586cac9c734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 50c | 13,606$6,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,861.01 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,542$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,610$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.03 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 17c | 1,499$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 49c | 1,499$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.46 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 1,148$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.4 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 17c | 1,098$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.82 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 52c | 1,014$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 17c | 965.35$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 65c | 922.87$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 853.68$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.29 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 60c | 650.94$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.56 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 19c | 264.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 20c | 211.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 48c | 130$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 43c | 124.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 18c | 111.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 46c | 109.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 39c | 107.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 104.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked Over | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Under | 54c | 84.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 71c | 81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Over | 62c | 76.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 42c | 69.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 54c | 42.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 35c | 36.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 69c | 33.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 68c | 16.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…57c9backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.