Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5ddcc53ac9e837e25b28af74466251a3182a12e1570d20b6e1e46c89604f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 9,629$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.11 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 54c | 3,323$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 52c | 1,920$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.81 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 1,511$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.44 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.97 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,110$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 800.42$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 46c | 800.15$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed No | 74c | 673.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 51c | 600.2$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 52c | 525.21$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.11 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 52c | 481.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 53c | 413.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 391.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 35c | 265.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 29c | 254.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 51c | 207.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 204.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 54c | 201.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 48c | 198.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +135%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…6052backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…7d41backed Yes | 51c | 194.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 34c | 166$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Yes | 47c | 157.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 50c | 142.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 127$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yes | 46c | 119.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 48c | 116.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 26c | 110.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 107.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a2…f592backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Yes | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 50c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 85.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…c97cbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 53c | 76.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…75cebacked Yes | 41c | 71.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 44c | 68.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 35c | 56.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 48c | 54.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Yes | 45c | 43.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 34c | 40.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…db47backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…5a46backed No | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 50c | 35.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 48c | 32.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 49c | 30.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 38c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 57c | 29.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…05bcbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…c296backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 65c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…9104backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.