Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf15ede29fd4b18bb4b5cdd08601020e7a429190b0c2102a786726d85e6c2a304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,747$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.74 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 3,850$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.85 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 76c | 3,356$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 45c | 2,607$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 76c | 2,399$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.76 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 75c | 1,543$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 1,010$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Under | 30c | 792.38$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 664$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 26c | 598.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 67c | 490$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 45c | 366.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 70c | 213$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 161.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…fdc0backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…bc26backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 75c | 118.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 72.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 63.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…e10fbacked Under | 27c | 47.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…b02fbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 26c | 39.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 37.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Over | 45c | 33.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 32.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…c9e9backed Over | 76c | 30.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…00d1backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…5cacbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked Over | 74c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4a25backed Over | 74c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…df6cbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…519dbacked Over | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…53dbbacked Over | 74c | 14.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +108%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.