TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c36,045$17,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,295.961,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Under53c31,680$16,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,889.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under50c10,617$5,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,308.6713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over39c8,265$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,236.1758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under52c3,848$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.944759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c3,763$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.510845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c2,558$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27938043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c1,643$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.5259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over47c1,603$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.385745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over35c1,432$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.26633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c1,376$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.0120644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c1,198$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.371,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over35c1,094$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9959136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.23754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over36c924.94$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3220947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Under21c917.42$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.761435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under52c840.69$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.537946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40014447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over50c666.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.497245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2949445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under51c599.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over28c589$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4329142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21038356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21016753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20044955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under55c398.56$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.145042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16517855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16015657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c288.43$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2221354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14013453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…7d02backed Over37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c219.2$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c214.55$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a26…1b7dbacked Over49c202.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under64c191$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.511283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Over50c190.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.052250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9513252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Over49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.212644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8513352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8514352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8510949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8513548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8513751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8016251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752119%4 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over49c151$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3815438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Over49c134.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.751050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.383151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c112.54$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c111.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.421744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Under68c102.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.391060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Under21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under50c94.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2611850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe61…4c28backed Over16c93.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over22c72.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.279233.7%31 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Under56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…1289backed Over43c69.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.911030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under75c66.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6412450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.