TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd002…2ee8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
284
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.68
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$75.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$66.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$11
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+223.7%+$33.55
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST7455.4%41 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$55.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$17.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$55.65
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$42.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$88.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$31.27
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.71
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$57.36
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Barcelona vs. Alaves: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+43.6%+$30.53
Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Real Madrid (-2.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$197.01
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.03
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$35.94
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$43.25
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+300%+$90
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+76.3%+$106.78
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$27.22
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$9.49
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Raphinha: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$22.02
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$5.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$43.45
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Marcos Giron vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.