Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17c9e9c952be43752e6c24cb11f8c6ffc6ecc976e307dbcebac2f628a0aca27a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $673,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 23c | 557,445$127,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,772.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 78c | 224,443$175,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,316.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 77c | 165,555$128,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,422.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 77c | 105,385$81,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,882.29 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 78c | 51,279$39,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,448.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 21c | 41,337$8,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,694.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 18,508$14,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 78c | 17,500$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 80c | 16,686$13,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 76c | 8,526$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.1 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 79c | 5,864$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 23c | 5,816$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.56 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 20c | 5,780$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.07 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 21c | 5,610$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.03 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 80c | 4,761$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.73 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 80c | 4,281$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 21c | 4,208$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.59 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 22c | 3,050$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Yes | 79c | 2,735$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.3 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 21c | 1,800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 26c | 1,474$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,388$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…818bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 78c | 1,027$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked No | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 22c | 826.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 79c | 669.25$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 77c | 645$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 642.86$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 73c | 608$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 24c | 569.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 79c | 569.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 21c | 468.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 20c | 455.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed Yes | 78c | 452.56$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 79c | 450.13$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked No | 21c | 431.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 74c | 404.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 79c | 393.33$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…8771backed Yes | 79c | 381.01$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…6bf3backed Yes | 79c | 323.51$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 78c | 279.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 79c | 270$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 20c | 250.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 24c | 232$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 80c | 220$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 79c | 216.46$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 80c | 213.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 21c | 199.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 79c | 199.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 74c | 177.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes | 74c | 157.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 79c | 154.18$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 78c | 153.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 27c | 148.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…b9cdbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…6741backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 76c | 97.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed Yes | 74c | 97.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 22c | 91.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4099backed Yes | 79c | 87.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 80c | 87.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 19c | 80.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…6e1abacked Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8408…8dbebacked Yes | 79c | 74.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…3520backed Yes | 80c | 69.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?this page
- Will Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.