Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa8f53751141f33d2134aa8a093643c1ae9fb8afd2492715b0fccacf04c5ecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 40,826$22,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,834.56 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 28,355$12,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,628.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 43c | 21,687$9,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,242.09 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 41c | 14,760$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.14 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 58c | 10,065$5,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.64 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 9,857$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 9,527$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.66 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 9,517$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 58c | 5,995$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.7 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 45c | 5,758$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.42 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 5,434$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.2 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 43c | 5,196$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 57c | 3,200$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 30c | 2,676$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.39 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 42c | 2,430$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Yes | 58c | 2,309$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 2,268$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.88 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 57c | 2,216$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.3 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 59c | 2,080$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 40c | 2,023$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 48c | 2,000$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.95 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…f293backed Yes | 60c | 1,943$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 43c | 1,923$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.79 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 1,887$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.75 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 41c | 1,878$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 52c | 1,863$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.9 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 1,758$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.51 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 53c | 1,498$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 41c | 1,489$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.28 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 1,413$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.34 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 58c | 1,321$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.82 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 42c | 1,095$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.92 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,086$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…8390backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 31c | 990.81$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 59c | 971.07$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.08 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 53c | 970.41$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.04 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 43c | 947.78$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.55 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…51c0backed No | 41c | 840$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…3203backed Yes | 60c | 830$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…6d93backed Yes | 60c | 810$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…ae2ebacked Yes | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…0ce2backed No | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…1d37backed No | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…190abacked Yes | 67c | 746.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 59c | 733.53$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.75 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked No | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 58c | 686.14$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 53c | 638.95$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 44c | 637$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 65c | 614.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 59c | 563.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 54c | 542.87$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 57c | 540$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 19c | 527.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 47c | 519.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 42c | 506.24$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 58c | 500.02$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 59c | 455.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…4129backed Yes | 49c | 408.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed No | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 34c | 378.85$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 42c | 378.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 372.75$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.28 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 41c | 368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…be27backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked No | 43c | 362.32$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 14c | 350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 52c | 347$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 56c | 334.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 52c | 333$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 42c | 332.24$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 48c | 315.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 64c | 314.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 57c | 299.25$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 293.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.