TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe916…4563backed Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes17c6,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c4,211$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.9368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes19c4,000$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.1820448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c3,587$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.861,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02c…2cf8backed No79c3,164$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.84875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes20c3,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.995339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes17c2,566$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.264643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No80c1,865$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8525551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Yes18c1,408$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.351442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes18c1,372$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes18c1,167$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Yes19c1,056$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes21c999.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes19c999.05$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes21c976.19$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes21c971.43$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044637%17 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes20c750.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Yes3c618.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.564843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ec8…3bd9backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes20c500.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9512746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d052backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No80c382.6$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.325276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes19c320$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.31421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes20c301.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes18c276.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506538.5%25 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3813…a81fbacked Yes17c269.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59fe…05eabacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes22c228.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.451910.5%2 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-71.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes19c224.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6618929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes20c214.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9520027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386940.6%28 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes14c194.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.198853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Yes18c186.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.632433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No80c177.52$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.538670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes9c162$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805b…be54backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011444.7%51 W · 63 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes19c148.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286432.8%21 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…bb37backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes19c136.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2636036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd554…8676backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d292backed Yes21c129.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No79c110.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.271,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010547.6%50 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac2…e407backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes19c102.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes19c101.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Yes22c100.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e5…6111backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5485…231cbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193336.4%12 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…b10abacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes21c99.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6514732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes21c97.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8313033.1%43 W · 87 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes21c95.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9c…ff1dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0dc…fc3dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0d…7f66backed Yes21c85.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512546.4%58 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Yes19c79.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47cc…8267backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152913.8%4 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No79c75.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae55…9385backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes18c74.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.339230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes18c72.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes18c72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.967642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes19c69.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No78c66.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Yes18c65.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.728344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes19c53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0719133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2232…b5d2backed Yes20c50.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977f…7029backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b98…7a2bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed No80c23.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47866.7%52 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb91…ff36backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.