Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedeb196e74cba2040c97c806dbf84155545b41fb0b51467a39dad334a1f2a090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 4,211$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.93 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.18 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 3,587$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.86 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed No | 79c | 3,164$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 20c | 3,000$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 17c | 2,566$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.26 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 80c | 1,865$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.85 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Yes | 18c | 1,408$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 18c | 1,372$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 18c | 1,167$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 19c | 1,056$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 19c | 999.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.82 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes | 21c | 976.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 21c | 971.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes | 20c | 750.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 3c | 618.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…3bd9backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 20c | 500.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 80c | 382.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 19c | 320$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 20c | 301.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 18c | 276.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…a81fbacked Yes | 17c | 269.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 22c | 228.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 19c | 224.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 214.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 14c | 194.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 18c | 186.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 80c | 177.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 9c | 162$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805b…be54backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…0212backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 19c | 148.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 19c | 136.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…8676backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d292backed Yes | 21c | 129.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 110.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac2…e407backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 19c | 102.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 19c | 101.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Yes | 22c | 100.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…6111backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…b10abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 99.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 21c | 97.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 95.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…ff1dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…fc3dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…7f66backed Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 19c | 79.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…8267backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 79c | 75.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…9385backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 18c | 74.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 18c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 69.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 66.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Yes | 18c | 65.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…b5d2backed Yes | 20c | 50.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…7029backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b98…7a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed No | 80c | 23.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…ff36backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.