TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24fb…a48e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
353
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT24553.9%132 W · 113 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 245 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.36
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$101.55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$176.02
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$308.96
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+34.2%+$63.97
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.4%+$108.24
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+50.6%+$151.85
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$65.45
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+135.9%+$244.55
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$178.58
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.5%+$100.53
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$452.58
Showing 25 of 245 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$145.1
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.19
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.96
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$64.47
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$56.86
Will Thailand win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+39.8%+$59.66
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$50.22
Will Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25.2%+$125.76
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.51
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$56.58
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$119.52
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+47.7%+$29.6
Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+48%+$47.97
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Will Trump say Netanyahu during his Iran address on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$25.63
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$88.82
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$50
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-78.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.34
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$73.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$89
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-78.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+50.5%+$101.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$76.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$36.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.