Movies · resolved market
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a4ad8f212d9647f5fd7f1a5ee655c943ae4c7672434d4b852d2216934658fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 55c | 4,434$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.94 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,875$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked No | 58c | 1,654$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Yes | 6c | 1,537$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,283$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,118$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 24c | 1,088$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.41 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 70c | 1,078$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.53 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 17c | 909$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 5c | 891.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed No | 7c | 760$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 19c | 669.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 27c | 600.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 72c | 592$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 40c | 500$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 24c | 453.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed Yes | 6c | 425$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 7c | 364.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 5c | 354.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked No | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 15c | 335.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…739cbacked Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 34c | 324.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 15c | 320.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 61c | 314.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 20c | 299.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 289.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c1…999dbacked No | 42c | 265.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…a4b3backed Yes | 24c | 250.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 64c | 246.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Yes | 10c | 217.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 68c | 209.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…974cbacked Yes | 28c | 199$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 167.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 37c | 165.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 53c | 164.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…f4c3backed No | 65c | 152.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 80c | 151$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 34c | 149.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 78c | 140$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…a2edbacked No | 48c | 124.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 13c | 118.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…2d06backed Yes | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9305…77babacked Yes | 66c | 108.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 17c | 107.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…2a22backed No | 76c | 105.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…884ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked Yes | 65c | 95.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 43c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…8322backed Yes | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 22c | 82.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Yes | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 63c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…d900backed Yes | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…1bc3backed Yes | 73c | 54.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…0ae8backed Yes | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…9218backed No | 41c | 53.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…30e3backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…2903backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…0bf2backed Yes | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…cbcdbacked No | 43c | 36.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…8c84backed Yes | 73c | 32.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…109ebacked Yes | 71c | 31.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed No | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed No | 41c | 27.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 43c | 25.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 69c | 18.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…fa27backed Yes | 80c | 14.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?this page
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be 98 or higher?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?Yes won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85 and 89?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 95 and 97?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.