Movies · resolved market
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de5fe258b69ae687ba740d8789134a5e124efd39909d82c8d15cbda28002d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38e…8719backed No | 68c | 47,289$32,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,132.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…b4e3backed Yes | 32c | 47,289$15,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,132.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…4739backed Yes | 1c | 5,769$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 28c | 3,587$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.86 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,505$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…3d19backed Yes | 2c | 2,453$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 18c | 1,999$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 4c | 1,919$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…c390backed Yes | 1c | 1,510$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…ce98backed Yes | 2c | 1,297$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,083$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,048$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 2c | 882.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed Yes | 3c | 714.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…771dbacked Yes | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…44c2backed Yes | 3c | 667.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 20c | 620$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db0…2f83backed Yes | 2c | 534$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…a586backed Yes | 3c | 476.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 453.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 12c | 290$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 287.58$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked Yes | 37c | 267.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 30c | 253$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 238.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 26c | 233$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 75c | 182$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…08f6backed Yes | 27c | 148.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 79c | 136$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…c807backed Yes | 43c | 133.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 70c | 128.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 68c | 110.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…b542backed No | 78c | 104.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…c393backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 21c | 93.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 68c | 93.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 68c | 89.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 78c | 38.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?this page
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be 98 or higher?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?Yes won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85 and 89?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 95 and 97?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.