Movies · resolved market
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13837dc08d7f6fe57f2d8dfff5ae761af3013edd5e3554832733629e7f56745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 65c | 2,790$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.82 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 27c | 770.7$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 41c | 657.89$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed Yes | 21c | 601.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 6c | 566.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 41c | 537.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 504.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.16 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.14 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 50c | 500$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 66c | 472.9$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 44c | 460.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.42 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 53c | 356$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 53c | 324.6$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 29c | 295.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.19 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…a4b3backed Yes | 67c | 250.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 20c | 250$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…a2edbacked Yes | 64c | 249.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 18c | 237.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 32c | 221.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 65c | 220$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…1317backed Yes | 21c | 173.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 48c | 154.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 38c | 146$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 141.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 76c | 134.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…01c0backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +491.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 55c | 114.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 42c | 111$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 10c | 110.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 13c | 101.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…2d06backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 75c | 95.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…401bbacked Yes | 17c | 93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +493.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b7…b8c5backed Yes | 17c | 86.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…5d21backed Yes | 31c | 84.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…8322backed No | 64c | 73.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…f862backed Yes | 32c | 68.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…dac3backed Yes | 23c | 52.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +328.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 48c | 38.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked No | 53c | 38.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed No | 65c | 19.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 84?this page
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be 98 or higher?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85 and 89?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 95 and 97?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.