TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d55…2ae8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.13
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,563.17
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.12
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.26
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.92
Will Lakas win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.22
Record low border encounters in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$82.5
Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$26.51
Will PAP win between 84 and 86 seats in the Singapore election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+125.4%+$58.42
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$18.71
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.14
Will the Liberal Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+237%+$28.12
Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$129.17
Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$64.28
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.64
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68–69°F on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or below on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or below on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.08
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$418.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 78°F or higher on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$68.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$24.73
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.01
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 67-68°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.05
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$27.79
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.65
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 83°F or higher on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$132.6
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+53.1%+$67.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Opensea token launch by July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will $VIRTUAL be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+284.7%+$37.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.04
Will the NFL ban the Tush Push?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143.7%+$39.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+95.7%+$34.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$238.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$14.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$292.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.