Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42ae7d2d4707b7a8dde4394c471dc4926985cfbc5ebc92635949dd124b92cf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Yes | 4c | 38,500$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,152.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 31c | 35,801$11,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,754.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 14c | 34,254$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,458.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…6deebacked No | 70c | 6,616$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 70c | 5,288$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.23 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 29c | 3,437$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.83 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 54c | 3,417$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 29c | 3,312$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 30c | 3,232$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.32 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 3,050$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed No | 52c | 3,042$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 30c | 2,616$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.4 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…06c2backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,462$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.78 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,350$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.24 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,168$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.11 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 70c | 1,751$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…fe11backed No | 71c | 1,573$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 51c | 1,460$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.33 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 35c | 1,331$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 30c | 1,319$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.12 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 19c | 862.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 69c | 812.05$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.32 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 805.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.3 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 28c | 794$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 42c | 782.32$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.72 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 31c | 700$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.71 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 29c | 700$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 27c | 659.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 49c | 619.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 17c | 574.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 31c | 543.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 30c | 543.05$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.13 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Yes | 31c | 501.47$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked Yes | 28c | 500$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 488$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 69c | 483.41$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 18c | 398.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.88 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 48c | 392.4$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 71c | 387.91$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Yes | 22c | 349.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 39c | 309.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 27c | 308.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 24c | 299.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.85 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 69c | 290$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 7c | 268.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.01 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 7c | 212.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…1730backed Yes | 5c | 201.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,912%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2a…c265backed Yes | 30c | 190.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…9b07backed No | 71c | 190.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 11c | 183.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 27c | 181$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 28c | 167$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 31c | 161.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…2ecdbacked No | 72c | 140.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 65c | 139.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 29c | 136.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 67c | 129$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 69c | 120.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 27c | 113.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 31c | 102.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…dcb7backed Yes | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 29c | 100.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 28c | 100.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…8322backed No | 73c | 98.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed No | 72c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 31c | 82.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 31c | 80.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 70c | 78.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed No | 57c | 67.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 70c | 67.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…5dc9backed No | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…1609backed Yes | 32c | 62.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…2b1fbacked Yes | 40c | 60.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 29c | 58.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked No | 72c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…6437backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…dce1backed No | 68c | 43.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…8f91backed No | 70c | 42.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…3d78backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…ffc7backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…e50dbacked Yes | 35c | 38.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…7ffbbacked Yes | 27c | 37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…8d9fbacked No | 70c | 20.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…de9cbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…d473backed No | 71c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…4c96backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8274…de01backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…6207backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…e64cbacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…73cdbacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…780fbacked No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a6…68f0backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…9240backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Burnley win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Cardiff City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Fulham win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Ipswich Town win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Newcastle United win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Plymouth Argyle win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Preston North End win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.