Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfdb6a6877a5e3e50f2bfd358ad94a7f7e994b45657a3bb0e308c6eb70aa2a16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afa…dba8backed No | 65c | 111,455$72,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,009.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…41babacked Yes | 35c | 111,455$39,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,009.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 30c | 14,353$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,047.36 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 13,243$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,364.96 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 30c | 11,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.96 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed No | 36c | 8,282$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 71c | 7,406$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.3 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 63c | 6,802$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 30c | 5,828$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 48c | 5,286$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.64 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 23c | 5,169$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.42 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…6deebacked Yes | 69c | 4,833$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 70c | 4,288$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.08 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 4,266$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Yes | 72c | 3,965$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 70c | 3,497$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 60c | 3,174$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…e482backed Yes | 49c | 3,150$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,912$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.96 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 75c | 2,697$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.46 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed Yes | 74c | 2,518$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 72c | 2,483$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.23 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 22c | 2,417$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.84 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 23c | 1,730$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.82 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 49c | 1,716$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.79 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 37c | 1,713$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.76 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 1,641$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.34 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,631$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.6 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 70c | 1,509$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 26c | 1,430$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 51c | 1,425$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.88 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Yes | 70c | 1,311$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…e43fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,278$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…fe11backed Yes | 70c | 1,265$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,253$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 32c | 1,241$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 55c | 1,200$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.99 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 62c | 1,122$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 49c | 1,035$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.93 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 1,025$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.9 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 30c | 990$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 70c | 962.8$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 64c | 892.49$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…7861backed Yes | 73c | 885.7$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 27c | 825.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Yes | 44c | 821.77$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 44c | 819.94$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.21 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 37c | 807$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 803.42$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.06 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 730$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.13 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…784abacked No | 66c | 723$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 41c | 714.13$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.21 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…5ae0backed Yes | 70c | 695.7$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 29c | 664.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.45 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c2…4626backed Yes | 69c | 659.27$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 59c | 643.85$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…fd78backed Yes | 73c | 635.03$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Yes | 71c | 626.44$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 37c | 605.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Yes | 36c | 486.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 54c | 473.01$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 40c | 457.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…9489backed Yes | 66c | 452.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 58c | 434.78$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Yes | 46c | 434.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…1537backed Yes | 72c | 427.65$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 68c | 411.72$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.58 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 33c | 410.89$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…308bbacked Yes | 32c | 400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…1ccfbacked Yes | 31c | 394$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 389.84$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Yes | 35c | 385.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 59c | 382.76$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 381.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…732ebacked Yes | 36c | 366.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…6375backed Yes | 36c | 363.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 70c | 352.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…a0eebacked Yes | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 71c | 343$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 49c | 329$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 68c | 321.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 65c | 310.7$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 63c | 308.18$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 70c | 306.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 33c | 306$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 70c | 294.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 28c | 288.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 47c | 280.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Burnley win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Cardiff City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?Yes won
- Will Fulham win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Ipswich Town win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Newcastle United win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Plymouth Argyle win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
- Will Preston North End win the 2024-25 FA Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.