TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win the 2024-25 FA Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,806 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3df6…bb77backed Yes3c45,000$1,350 inLost-$1,350742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+345.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…2afabacked Yes3c42,000$1,176 inLost-$1,176812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-84.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes9c18,000$1,548 inLost-$1,5482653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes9c1,979$172 inLost-$172.169917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes13c926.35$120 inLost-$1206137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes11c500$54 inLost-$53.93836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ee…d511backed Yes10c287.72$30 inLost-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes10c253.78$26 inLost-$2611019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c212.92$19 inLost-$18.692037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.