TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a9…c417

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
373
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT7230.6%22 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$468
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$212.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.44
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.79
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.85
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.24
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.34
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.36
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.91
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.66
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.95
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+1,113.3%+$1,537.08
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$110.59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.61
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.8
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$94.51
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$279.06
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.76
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST6625.8%17 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,220.89
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+199.8%+$367.03
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+733.3%+$176.87
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.05
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.44
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$129.93
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+166.9%+$892.15
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.23
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$595.96
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+373.9%+$55.23
Will courts block Trump's travel ban before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.12
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.11
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.71
Will Trump visit Israel in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.15
Will Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Trump announces additional funding cuts to Harvard before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+420.5%+$153.5
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.18
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.11
Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.95
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.14
Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.89
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5518.2%10 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$340
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,569.09
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.58
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.46
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.34
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$123.01
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$188.62
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$582.82
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$63.64
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$247.61
Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.48
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$438.45
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+223.6%+$167.15
Will STAČILO! get between 8% and 11% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.82
Will Starostové get between 13% and 16% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.44
Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.14
Will turnout be between 60% and 63% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.55
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
NDP member appointed to the Canadian cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.21
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$226.45
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.91
Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will George Simion win by over 18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.36
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.4
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+434.9%+$2,312.42
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$1,065.51
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.41
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.98
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.58
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.79
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.71
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.9
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.58
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.04
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$88.96
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.07
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$179.54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$139.94
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$79.86
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$167.83
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$135.53
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+134%+$515.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+338.4%+$2,309.79
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.27
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.87
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.11
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$234.32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$750.47
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+271.3%+$253.18
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+235.2%+$313
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.52
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.04
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.2
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.77
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.6
Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.69
Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.95
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST2524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 4+ times by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+28.2%+$24.19
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times Nov 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$14.61
Will Trump tweet 130 or more times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Trump tweet 40-49 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.67
Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+697.3%+$227.49
Will Trump tweet 40-44 times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 18-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump tweet 30-34 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 27-October 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 27-October 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 27-October 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+187.4%+$32.68
Will Trump tweet 40-44 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Trump tweet 35-39 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Trump posts 35-39 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$36
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$66.54
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.17
Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+292%+$73.25
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$147
Trump posts between 10 and 14 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.4
Trump posts 50-99 times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$39.94
Trump posts 100 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.59
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.84
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.64
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+184%+$469.75
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$601.81
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.39
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.01
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$35.92
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.57
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$14
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+426.3%+$46.89
Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$500.16
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.34
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$166.37
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$96.69
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.68
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.44
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+76.1%+$27.8
Will less than 8 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.87
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$14.3
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+226.4%+$95.03
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$30.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.4
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$135.27
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31.79
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$58.63
Will five or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.79
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$59.42
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+233.3%+$35
SpaceX Starship launch today? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$26
SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+120.9%+$20.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+202.3%+$150.63
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.64
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$159.21
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$171.51
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+312.7%+$256.16
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.57
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+300%+$41.4
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+394.1%+$682.57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.39
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.47
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.17
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.23
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.74
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.4%+$251.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+149.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Speed next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.6
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+138.1%+$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebron play again by Christmas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+100.7%+$24.6
Will Bronny score in his next game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+400%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+192.4%+$528.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.