Tennis · resolved market
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e67f9a41a521990057dd3ce5fd73363961f5617bd7fd85ff7059c571247e93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 45c | 3,244$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.57 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…5265backed No | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…d7f5backed No | 54c | 1,555$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…f98dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,555$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…5d68backed Yes | 46c | 1,555$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 56c | 1,435$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.1 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 59c | 1,000$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.31 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Yes | 47c | 966$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed No | 53c | 966$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked Yes | 45c | 811.38$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 36c | 627$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed No | 55c | 526.41$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…21a2backed Yes | 41c | 484.6$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked No | 53c | 414.24$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 40c | 392.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 51c | 336.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.97 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…7254backed Yes | 47c | 295.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 46c | 288$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed No | 55c | 283.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…d845backed Yes | 45c | 251.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 60c | 225.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 63c | 222$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 49c | 203.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 47c | 191.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…abc3backed No | 54c | 188$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 60c | 111$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 108.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…3df8backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…4fe8backed Yes | 46c | 97.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7295backed Yes | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 63c | 71.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 282 | 41.8%118 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Yes | 37c | 70.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 44c | 63.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 53.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 50.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 56c | 46.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…d3b8backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…e5a9backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…ebe8backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…760bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 65c | 33.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e0…7902backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…1903backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?this page
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the Six Kings Slam?Yes won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Rafael Nadal win the Six Kings Slam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.