Tennis · resolved market
Will Novak Djokovic win the Six Kings Slam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b8fc0d15093f6a022c90991557a126cff29d1a7c6ac079d240eedba2fc2be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 1c | 1,929$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…b1b4backed Yes | 18c | 1,189$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Yes | 15c | 336.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 16c | 333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 19c | 268.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…ac9bbacked Yes | 17c | 240.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 18c | 226.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 17c | 201.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…7254backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Yes | 15c | 159.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…64afbacked Yes | 11c | 130.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Yes | 18c | 95.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…07c4backed Yes | 12c | 89.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Novak Djokovic win the Six Kings Slam?this page
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the Six Kings Slam?Yes won
- Will Rafael Nadal win the Six Kings Slam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.