Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win the Six Kings Slam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb22e23192034b9a83669257eef9d23c0919207e3d7c38bdc59398b115e68cc2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,750$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 41c | 1,185$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.76 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 38c | 871.96$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.19 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 45c | 461.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked No | 69c | 400$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 55c | 390.07$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 68c | 333$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Yes | 57c | 302.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 33c | 273.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…ab79backed Yes | 54c | 238.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1328…e1c4backed No | 46c | 238.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Yes | 52c | 238.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 163.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 57c | 157.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 100.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…efe6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…82a0backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Yes | 37c | 63.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 58c | 55.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 59c | 54.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 39c | 52.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…07c4backed No | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 52c | 19.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win the Six Kings Slam?this page
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Holger Rune win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the Six Kings Slam?No won
- Will Rafael Nadal win the Six Kings Slam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.