Premier League · resolved market
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7f639993790f57a941adf57a88bdb3416e7138ea9cbe0dd976af4cd6c2eeec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 66c | 4,930$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.26 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 53c | 1,716$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.5 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 71c | 1,311$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 45c | 855.15$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 9c | 855.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 64c | 844.92$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 67c | 829.64$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 3c | 736.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 80c | 650.2$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 45c | 546.39$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 54c | 533.13$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 36c | 511.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 49c | 511$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…d553backed Yes | 55c | 431.37$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 16c | 387.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 49c | 375$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 16c | 310.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 33c | 306.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 66c | 301.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…fcf0backed Yes | 14c | 269.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 200.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 14c | 184$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Yes | 52c | 157.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 52c | 133.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 127.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 125.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa1…250abacked Yes | 73c | 120.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…b2b5backed Yes | 18c | 104.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 41c | 98.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 47c | 97.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…db2fbacked Yes | 22c | 94.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 58c | 89.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked No | 61c | 87.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 67c | 66.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 23c | 60.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…b9dcbacked Yes | 60c | 50.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 53c | 47.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 79c | 44.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 25c | 41.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…47ebbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 43c | 36.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…d074backed Yes | 64c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1972…481ebacked Yes | 50c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5921…3e13backed No | 72c | 29.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 52c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 44c | 25.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6279…fb37backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…0ae8backed No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 69c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…d9e3backed Yes | 80c | 13.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.