Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ef70a1bcaa6f14e19ee87c5dcb8949044875c31fdd42ee078d7b72296c2ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,524,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,524,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5402…b1f4backed Yes | 0c | 962,384$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…731bbacked Yes | 0c | 940,511$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 44,040$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 0c | 35,342$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 0c | 31,760$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 22,111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,665$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 4c | 20,126$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.67 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 1c | 18,407$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60b…0e01backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 0c | 11,083$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…4a77backed Yes | 0c | 9,556$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed Yes | 5c | 7,327$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.11 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 2c | 7,212$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 5,190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…a48ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,621$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 0c | 4,576$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 2c | 4,283$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…96a0backed Yes | 3c | 2,895$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,702$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 6c | 2,546$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 2,092$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,063$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,873$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,731$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,466$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…92c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…a155backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…c15bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,149$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,148$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,090$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 10c | 969.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Yes | 4c | 836.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 4c | 649.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…f722backed Yes | 7c | 641.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 4c | 543.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked Yes | 9c | 534.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 10c | 476.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 396$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…1845backed Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 367$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…6866backed Yes | 8c | 337.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 9c | 334$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 8c | 222.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 6c | 169.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.