TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,045,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$724,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,045,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c31,400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8368.3%3 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1128…cfa5backed Yes0c30,146$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.57336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick9cpaid+28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes0c27,986$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.33120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc53…9754backed Yes0c25,184$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.18180%0 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a4…41c2backed Yes0c24,825$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9285…c19dbacked Yes0c24,333$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c22,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…58b0backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Yes3c14,455$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.962222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes0c14,354$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.427821.8%17 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes0c14,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52905.6%5 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick5cpaid-82.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58fd…43a6backed Yes0c12,995$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b08…1a9dbacked Yes0c11,586$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c11,460$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.855327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes1c11,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03be…5493backed Yes3c10,690$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8390%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes0c9,475$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.22130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes3c8,213$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.86430%0 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes0c7,683$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28752.7%2 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08dd…4a77backed Yes0c7,560$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.28150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…904abacked Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1199…d5f9backed Yes0c7,355$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.09140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c6,268$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4713910.8%15 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes3c6,092$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.14358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Yes0c5,615$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54240%0 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfdb…06aebacked Yes0c5,381$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104214.3%6 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25ae…c058backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e85…b85dbacked Yes4c4,663$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecf…afe2backed Yes1c4,644$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-67%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes3c3,469$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8225311.5%29 W · 224 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e7…6566backed Yes0c3,065$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ce…de5cbacked Yes1c2,938$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc254…e3a1backed Yes0c2,725$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ec…8bf1backed Yes1c2,609$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.06128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-82.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…b789backed Yes1c2,521$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.133627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb2…6b49backed Yes0c2,435$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3264…1cf1backed Yes1c2,428$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacbb…7178backed Yes0c2,246$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad09…8db2backed Yes1c2,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1480%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500c…c70dbacked Yes1c1,943$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes3c1,941$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.664010%4 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-67.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes3c1,922$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.513414.7%5 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c1,903$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6939429.4%116 W · 278 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6725…4b40backed Yes6c1,846$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3470%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ee…96a0backed Yes3c1,712$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.312711.1%3 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd96…531dbacked Yes5c1,689$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-85.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes7c1,353$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes2c1,314$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-67.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7319…0299backed Yes2c1,271$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.626814.7%10 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…9969backed Yes1c1,191$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes3c1,147$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.83704.3%3 W · 67 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes3c1,111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.489518.9%18 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf31…a155backed Yes2c1,092$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709d…ccf3backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes2c974.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156813.2%9 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa722…5794backed Yes1c835.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9613…7528backed Yes1c766.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853d…f8d4backed Yes3c697.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-61.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed Yes4c685.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick24cpaid-90.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5501…a647backed Yes4c683.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa9c…3421backed Yes4c666$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3405…30edbacked Yes8c616.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021426.2%56 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes4c413.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.981546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes3c399.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9824258.7%142 W · 100 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa3b…21f9backed Yes4c386$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c7…82cebacked Yes5c280$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.086317.5%11 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74cb…ae6dbacked Yes6c280$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36622.7%15 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes6c273.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.483411.8%4 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2140…3f88backed Yes4c237.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…800abacked Yes6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-80.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes7c143$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.017843.6%34 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.