Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4cf7ea4502155f89905021917d22b26b01867582abdc6104995517465c57d91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $985,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $610,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $985,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 0c | 93,494$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 1c | 32,078$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 1c | 23,173$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 0c | 22,707$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 19,629$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 18,334$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 3c | 14,977$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.82 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 1c | 14,872$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 14,777$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 1c | 13,913$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…1a9dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,220$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 10,711$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 1c | 10,316$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8bf1backed Yes | 1c | 10,066$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…aa4cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,436$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 8,060$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…8deebacked Yes | 1c | 7,869$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 0c | 7,836$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 0c | 7,585$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,302$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…c392backed Yes | 1c | 7,080$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…d9edbacked Yes | 1c | 7,002$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…11aebacked Yes | 1c | 6,702$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…4a77backed Yes | 0c | 6,536$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 1c | 6,402$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 0c | 6,287$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 5,981$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…17c7backed Yes | 1c | 5,896$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Yes | 4c | 5,816$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…547abacked Yes | 0c | 5,802$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…f3bcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,732$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,685$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Yes | 0c | 5,669$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b754backed Yes | 1c | 5,258$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 1c | 5,235$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe861…e226backed Yes | 0c | 5,066$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…823abacked Yes | 1c | 5,060$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 5,005$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 0c | 4,935$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,913$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…b49fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,668$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 4,652$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…4569backed Yes | 1c | 4,620$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 0c | 4,368$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…b8bfbacked Yes | 0c | 4,335$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 1c | 4,281$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…5668backed Yes | 1c | 3,694$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…fe0dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,591$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5497…300bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,535$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…a3c2backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 4c | 2,812$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,620$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…d4a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,334$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes | 0c | 2,334$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,266$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5292…f5bfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,995$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 3c | 1,839$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,700$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…df20backed Yes | 3c | 1,669$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,517$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,350$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…eea3backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…8cb9backed Yes | 2c | 1,065$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,047$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,028$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…ccf3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…a155backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 3c | 998.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 979.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…102fbacked Yes | 3c | 943.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…16b1backed Yes | 3c | 920.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 2c | 782.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked Yes | 13c | 759.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…a647backed Yes | 4c | 683.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…7cc5backed Yes | 3c | 673.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 588.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 582.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…4bb5backed Yes | 4c | 561.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 4c | 554.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…1981backed Yes | 2c | 509.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a8…6d0abacked Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…78c1backed Yes | 2c | 483.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…e504backed Yes | 4c | 460.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8690…46f7backed Yes | 5c | 444.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 10c | 439.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…e460backed Yes | 6c | 429.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…8fe0backed Yes | 3c | 419.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…2306backed Yes | 4c | 419.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked Yes | 2c | 413$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked Yes | 6c | 352.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…c2b9backed Yes | 3c | 321$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…8882backed Yes | 7c | 226.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c52…f902backed Yes | 5c | 214$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.