Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715eb6357edc59dc38d9f7da929e63be58fa4d3b7bd1415d7950a60bd4317827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,070,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $834,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,070,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 3c | 39,744$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.3 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 7c | 27,020$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.61 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 25,082$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 3c | 23,571$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.09 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 23,000$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 16,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…1bafbacked Yes | 2c | 14,924$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 5c | 10,229$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd994…2e2fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,210$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,251$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 3c | 9,215$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 1c | 9,147$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,976$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…0aabbacked Yes | 1c | 8,279$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…1a9dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,933$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Yes | 5c | 7,884$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 3c | 7,600$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…b814backed Yes | 4c | 7,539$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…0ebbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…1bd3backed Yes | 2c | 7,175$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee8…2e9dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,130$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…eceabacked Yes | 1c | 7,113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c10…7f43backed Yes | 1c | 7,100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…885abacked Yes | 1c | 7,070$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…04b7backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac8…7656backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742b…d9cfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,040$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…adacbacked Yes | 1c | 7,030$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5dc9backed Yes | 1c | 7,025$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 11c | 6,715$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 6,560$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 3c | 6,399$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eb0bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,385$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…afe2backed Yes | 3c | 6,274$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 6,120$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 6,045$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 5c | 5,222$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Yes | 1c | 5,173$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…0972backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +182%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,934$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 1c | 4,676$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…9559backed Yes | 2c | 4,623$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…4792backed Yes | 1c | 4,115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…aca6backed Yes | 1c | 4,115$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2435…1033backed Yes | 1c | 4,109$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…5778backed Yes | 1c | 4,084$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…4a77backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…5618backed Yes | 1c | 3,976$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…acc8backed Yes | 1c | 3,948$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,905$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 3,835$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…4f91backed Yes | 2c | 3,800$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…a29fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,790$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…aa61backed Yes | 9c | 3,749$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…80a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,711$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…7f87backed Yes | 1c | 3,398$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 5c | 3,250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,235$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…270cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,744$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 2c | 2,207$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…f08bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 1c | 2,093$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 1c | 2,075$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…1c1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,059$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,034$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11b…7256backed Yes | 2c | 1,824$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,657$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,639$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,605$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3b…69c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,488$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…d990backed Yes | 1c | 1,403$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 1c | 1,358$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…5e81backed Yes | 1c | 1,319$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…df36backed Yes | 2c | 1,314$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…96a0backed Yes | 7c | 1,301$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 12c | 1,275$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbef3…9977backed Yes | 4c | 1,267$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…1e81backed Yes | 8c | 1,179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,163$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 10c | 1,120$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 2c | 1,073$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…ccf3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…a155backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…5ba5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…8f90backed Yes | 1c | 999.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 16c | 990$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 1c | 984.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e74…7e4fbacked Yes | 4c | 978.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 1c | 977.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…2a75backed Yes | 2c | 889$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 14c | 874.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…80e4backed Yes | 2c | 834$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.