Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e488a00557f5518b4f923621c4f13b77fed917ae0a7cb9590a37917bc6ec76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $867,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $614,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 49,126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 0c | 45,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 37,087$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 0c | 24,906$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,663$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 17,422$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 14,197$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…a155backed Yes | 0c | 11,653$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,141$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…2a75backed Yes | 1c | 9,692$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 0c | 8,420$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,115$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,893$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,744$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Yes | 2c | 5,467$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,214$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…8d8abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 4,897$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 4,567$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 3,751$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 0c | 3,608$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 1c | 2,428$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,075$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff5…9711backed Yes | 1c | 2,008$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 1c | 1,966$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…32c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,936$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 3c | 1,833$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,161$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2d…a277backed Yes | 1c | 1,068$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…ccf3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 935.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked Yes | 6c | 821.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 7c | 678.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 3c | 568.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 4c | 283.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.