Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff999e258f449a28ba7e6985a822abbfbbe07b846b477beaf1f68ea469cec4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $882,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $683,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $882,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 1c | 30,658$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 1c | 24,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…7049backed Yes | 0c | 19,381$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 18,949$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 5c | 16,506$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.9 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 6c | 13,102$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.41 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…1a9dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,630$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,212$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 10,183$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 1c | 9,720$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…8610backed Yes | 2c | 8,697$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,295$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff1…a9b8backed Yes | 2c | 7,140$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…a60fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…b258backed Yes | 1c | 7,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…4d13backed Yes | 2c | 7,110$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…4069backed Yes | 1c | 7,095$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…cad0backed Yes | 2c | 7,030$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…1df0backed Yes | 2c | 7,030$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…22c2backed Yes | 2c | 6,820$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8bf1backed Yes | 6c | 6,215$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.34 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…9433backed Yes | 3c | 6,094$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 2c | 6,041$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 5,990$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…c244backed Yes | 10c | 5,795$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 5,719$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 0c | 5,666$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d2…9875backed Yes | 2c | 5,397$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes | 6c | 5,326$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…27bdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,294$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 0c | 5,152$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…df75backed Yes | 2c | 5,090$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 5,037$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 9c | 4,977$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.07 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 5c | 4,699$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.75 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 2c | 4,634$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,479$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,332$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 4,320$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.33 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,226$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…4a77backed Yes | 1c | 4,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…9df3backed Yes | 1c | 3,982$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…b5ffbacked Yes | 1c | 3,970$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 3,940$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,664$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…a5e3backed Yes | 4c | 3,563$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,531$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…0aabbacked Yes | 2c | 3,471$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 1c | 3,376$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 5c | 3,326$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…ed1abacked Yes | 2c | 3,247$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…d1debacked Yes | 3c | 3,001$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 5c | 2,857$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…3e1abacked Yes | 4c | 2,802$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 3c | 2,682$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,643$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…309dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,627$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…efa8backed Yes | 0c | 2,620$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 3c | 2,580$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a2…7666backed Yes | 1c | 2,545$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 2,515$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,486$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…4442backed Yes | 0c | 2,443$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Yes | 1c | 2,410$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 2,347$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 3c | 2,335$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 1c | 2,332$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked Yes | 9c | 2,257$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 15c | 2,244$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Yes | 1c | 2,240$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…c2efbacked Yes | 11c | 2,025$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 3c | 1,923$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…f9e0backed Yes | 6c | 1,906$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 11c | 1,852$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,807$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…5ba5backed Yes | 1c | 1,706$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…afe2backed Yes | 4c | 1,679$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 5c | 1,644$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,585$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…5836backed Yes | 2c | 1,533$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…96a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,532$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,511$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…565fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,387$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…0484backed Yes | 2c | 1,340$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…62febacked Yes | 6c | 1,290$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…3344backed Yes | 5c | 1,228$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11b…7256backed Yes | 2c | 1,212$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…38f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,204$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,181$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa433…67ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…d51fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…b95dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 36c | 1,054$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaef…cb52backed Yes | 12c | 1,033$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…35b5backed Yes | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.