Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f7637335809af5c5fdc9f3158207bc06a63fbb71fe35d8a7e812142f91f701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $829,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $706,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 3c | 81,391$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.09 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,789$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 2c | 26,477$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.59 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 19,073$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 12,563$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.27 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,278$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…1a9dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,391$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 3c | 9,274$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.82 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 8,547$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 8,003$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…1cfebacked Yes | 1c | 7,075$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…c451backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…f4ebbacked Yes | 1c | 6,010$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 1c | 5,986$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe6…c789backed Yes | 2c | 5,404$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,273$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 5,023$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 3c | 4,955$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…ed1abacked Yes | 2c | 4,372$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,279$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 1c | 4,192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…8e66backed Yes | 1c | 3,836$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…c36abacked Yes | 1c | 3,719$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…a3c2backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…151ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,128$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…a155backed Yes | 3c | 2,073$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 2c | 1,999$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…750bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,747$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 2c | 1,657$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,562$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,414$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 33cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,376$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…6b49backed Yes | 1c | 1,211$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…7e31backed Yes | 2c | 1,211$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Yes | 3c | 1,039$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…c15bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,029$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…ccf3backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 3c | 983.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…8307backed Yes | 2c | 888.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 2c | 799.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…f5eebacked Yes | 2c | 781.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 3c | 761.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 3c | 721.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb0…fdc3backed Yes | 2c | 640.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yes | 3c | 628.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 586.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…cd7bbacked Yes | 2c | 580.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9717…ddf3backed Yes | 3c | 550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 2c | 545.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…0fa8backed Yes | 4c | 503.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 3c | 501.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…95b8backed Yes | 2c | 472.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 466.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 3c | 428.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…fd74backed Yes | 2c | 416.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…af9bbacked Yes | 3c | 393.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…76eabacked Yes | 3c | 360.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…fafcbacked Yes | 4c | 341$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…0d0ebacked Yes | 4c | 331$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…233ebacked Yes | 4c | 290$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…7fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…8882backed Yes | 4c | 231.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?this page
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.