TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c68…f2a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Dupont De Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65.58
Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.83
Will Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Oklo (OKLO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$206.81
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+263%+$78.9
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.39
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$71.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.46
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bill Clinton charged by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.9%+$51.4
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+122.8%+$138.9
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$88.28
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$583.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-80.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.95
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Meta dip to $600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$70.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+427.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+427.3%+$170.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+335.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+335.3%+$879.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+305%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+305%+$147.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+219.3%+$151.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will October 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$59.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.