Earnings · resolved market
Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7602953678d63abae3edf1ac13c6648ad5a75a0e1c595e95e9b54c31fe0f3666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…a876backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…8272backed No | 0c | 10,232$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 7c | 4,163$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…afdcbacked No | 1c | 2,250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 9c | 1,500$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…4d32backed No | 7c | 1,371$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 9c | 1,200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…85e0backed No | 10c | 1,106$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked No | 10c | 999.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 6c | 998.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked No | 13c | 936.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ef…dfddbacked No | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 10c | 749.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 14c | 730.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 8c | 628.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 9c | 374.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…2b2cbacked No | 13c | 371.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…ca81backed No | 13c | 367.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked No | 14c | 363.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…c2dbbacked No | 4c | 351.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed No | 13c | 341.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 8c | 340.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 9c | 333.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 9c | 299.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed No | 11c | 299.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…e699backed No | 10c | 274.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…0e60backed No | 8c | 236.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed No | 7c | 235.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 9c | 229.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 10c | 229.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 9c | 215.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked No | 10c | 209.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 10c | 207.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 9c | 205.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed5…83efbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…d847backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 10c | 192.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 11c | 184.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…b38ebacked No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0bbabacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…bd9fbacked No | 12c | 132.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 14c | 127.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 8c | 126.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…54b4backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed No | 13c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…8e56backed No | 15c | 116.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 114.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 10c | 109.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…d0d3backed No | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…03c1backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 80c | 48.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.