Ukraine · resolved market
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf545bd55ed64103a7f62dcf1c48663f9d6432bb9bcb0835fd112abf7c418e30e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 29,000$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.99 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 14c | 26,669$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 26c | 19,254$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.98 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 12,589$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.42 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…5033backed No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 22c | 9,603$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,492.64 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…72edbacked Yes | 9c | 9,510$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 64c | 8,662$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 13c | 6,748$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.62 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked No | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked Yes | 75c | 5,151$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 42c | 4,909$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.13 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked No | 23c | 4,661$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked No | 25c | 4,561$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +299.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 30c | 4,519$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.89 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked Yes | 66c | 4,140$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 76c | 4,068$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.46 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked No | 77c | 3,800$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…4402backed No | 24c | 3,627$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed No | 21c | 3,397$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +387.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…778dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,200$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…66d6backed No | 63c | 3,168$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 77c | 3,129$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.89 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 1c | 3,122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 60c | 3,017$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.9 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.57 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 19c | 2,760$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.34 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…5d61backed No | 55c | 2,721$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…a67dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,661$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.38 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6720…177cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,632$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…3e1abacked Yes | 8c | 2,569$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,494$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.75 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 77c | 2,422$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…cd6bbacked No | 20c | 2,390$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…4758backed Yes | 26c | 2,265$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…e2dcbacked Yes | 23c | 2,143$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 34c | 1,942$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.29 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,941$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 20c | 1,929$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 37cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 9c | 1,906$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 44c | 1,904$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 12c | 1,870$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…a9c1backed Yes | 27c | 1,860$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 53c | 1,852$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf3…2affbacked Yes | 10c | 1,763$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,753$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.89 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 69c | 1,739$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,729$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 44c | 1,712$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 48c | 1,692$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 26c | 1,600$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.43 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…4050backed Yes | 13c | 1,599$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,588$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c581backed Yes | 12c | 1,573$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 27c | 1,538$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.93 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 19c | 1,500$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…cb93backed No | 37c | 1,484$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed No | 69c | 1,452$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 21c | 1,450$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…78f5backed Yes | 16c | 1,410$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 47c | 1,388$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.59 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked No | 45c | 1,385$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,317$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3730…ed50backed Yes | 22c | 1,310$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…d809backed Yes | 77c | 1,296$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 24c | 1,279$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.01 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…130fbacked No | 75c | 1,248$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…8766backed Yes | 2c | 1,241$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Yes | 2c | 1,190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,163$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 77c | 1,125$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…6c4fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,115$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 74c | 1,090$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.44 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…9d4dbacked No | 19c | 1,075$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 52c | 1,070$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.07 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed No | 22c | 1,056$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…fb82backed Yes | 71c | 1,040$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Yes | 20c | 1,031$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 21c | 1,003$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed No | 25c | 999.8$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed No | 62c | 963.56$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 55c | 952.21$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 17c | 950.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.22 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 73c | 944.1$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5185…79e6backed Yes | 78c | 937.76$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…e38fbacked No | 25c | 900$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 899.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 46c | 872.68$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.77 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…057bbacked No | 76c | 869.29$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…0c2dbacked No | 35c | 852.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…e158backed No | 39c | 848$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 835.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 77c | 799.99$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 55c | 790.67$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 68c | 767.13$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.