Earnings · resolved market
Will Oklo (OKLO) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb1b37d07a4457575b3210c4fdfc28ef3c8851fe660ba87b0d986aef284e53f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,491$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…416abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Yes | 39c | 508.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 37c | 433.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed No | 67c | 432.45$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 40c | 380$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 46c | 379.6$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 34c | 339.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 45c | 268.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…d388backed Yes | 39c | 256.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 35c | 216.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 53c | 215.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 37c | 204.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 49c | 203.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…c27abacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 52c | 191.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 180.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 37c | 163.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked No | 63c | 156.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 61c | 154.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa405…99acbacked No | 67c | 149.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…c3dfbacked Yes | 33c | 148.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 37c | 148.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed No | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed No | 65c | 142.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…3a52backed Yes | 36c | 137.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…917dbacked Yes | 30c | 137.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…300ebacked No | 61c | 115.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 48c | 110.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 50c | 102.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 101.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2b7dbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…657abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…db3ebacked No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…dd19backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 72c | 74.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 28c | 70.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…d65cbacked No | 63c | 63.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked No | 64c | 62.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked No | 80c | 62.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f6…1ed9backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…9ea9backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…92c6backed Yes | 37c | 59.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 29c | 59.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 45c | 58.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 54c | 57.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked No | 63c | 51.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 59cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…52c2backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0059…ca38backed No | 61c | 45.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 65c | 45.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…4986backed No | 53c | 44.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 43.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed No | 74c | 43.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed Yes | 35c | 42.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…6a64backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 60c | 37.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…2012backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f4…d596backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…80edbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a76…53ebbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…3df6backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…69c9backed No | 63c | 25.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…8169backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…792ebacked Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.