TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb28c…be33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$22.4
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.07
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.55
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.61
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Comesanabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$24.3
Rolex Paris Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Gabriel Diallobacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.7
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Jiri Leheckabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$21
Rolex Paris Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machacbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$32.2
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$35.99
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Jenson Brooksby vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+147.4%+$71.5
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.2
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$102.2
Swiss Indoors Basel: Reilly Opelka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$37.2
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+92%+$57.5
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jenson Brooksby vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+99.8%+$57.45
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$38.24
Erste Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.2
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-44.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+94.8%+$194.66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$59.59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+488.2%+$166
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+27.4%+$43
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$188
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$176.02
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$805.79
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+233.3%+$140
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+230%+$144.88
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$79.23
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$367.17
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$102.7
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$465.11
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$292
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+109.7%+$98.7
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+68.4%+$203
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+68.7%+$110.22
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$64.97
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.39
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$366.83
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$345.2
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+163.2%+$80.6
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+36.4%+$97.12
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$126
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$490.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-74.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.99
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28%+$51.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.