TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazaux

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fokinaof Fokina, Cazaux
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,087 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Fokina64c90,979$58,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,752.447857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Cazaux36c90,327$32,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,478.3610845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cazaux32c7,421$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.922,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Fokina67c6,000$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.996549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Cazaux34c5,156$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7475630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Cazaux17c4,002$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.042520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Cazaux38c3,130$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.5116644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Fokina68c2,936$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.822864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cazaux35c2,850$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.4617823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdad2…98c6backed Fokina67c2,824$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cazaux31c2,629$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.451,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Cazaux40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Fokina66c2,345$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.167152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fokina60c2,280$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.656,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Fokina69c2,277$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.533265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Cazaux33c2,000$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Cazaux38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7608530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab47…c287backed Cazaux12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Fokina62c1,810$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.89245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cazaux26c1,790$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.0911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0e…0d8cbacked Fokina64c1,766$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd311…cc81backed Cazaux36c1,766$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+113.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f7b…a05abacked Fokina64c1,699$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…da80backed Cazaux36c1,699$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Fokina64c1,579$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.3514549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cazaux36c1,576$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.3513935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Cazaux33c1,518$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Fokina69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.285448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Cazaux16c1,400$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2193426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Fokina64c1,380$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Cazaux37c1,352$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf7…5f85backed Cazaux35c1,149$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fokina74c1,147$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.662,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Cazaux36c1,124$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Fokina67c1,085$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.0238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cazaux27c1,076$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.648,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Fokina67c1,008$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.641258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Cazaux38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Fokina67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce12…0e76backed Cazaux26c959$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cazaux33c776$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Fokina65c691.45$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.436752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Cazaux33c612.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.112,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Fokina58c577.55$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.374153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Cazaux31c514.71$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.51,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Fokina65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17532050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e80…09b8backed Fokina68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6916…6915backed Fokina65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Cazaux30c486.72$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7e…ba65backed Cazaux18c480$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Fokina63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.195450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34c7…66a3backed Fokina65c458.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fokina65c458.46$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4628952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Cazaux46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Cazaux43c406.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Cazaux39c406.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Fokina65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14011647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c6…1661backed Cazaux8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Cazaux33c392.95$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.672420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Cazaux35c388.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Fokina65c385.01$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5360641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Cazaux5c350$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina67c348.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.511,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Cazaux36c323.33$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.47149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82e…5b63backed Fokina63c312.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Fokina67c311.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7610457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3345…9c9abacked Cazaux36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Cazaux36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Fokina72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7865651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Cazaux37c270.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf5…e611backed Fokina58c254$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.62729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Fokina61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Fokina68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8070465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec12…8372backed Fokina69c242.2$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Fokina55c239.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.82450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Cazaux35c238.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bab…638fbacked Cazaux17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Fokina64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.383551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Fokina65c234$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.97356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cazaux35c229.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9355143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Fokina70c214.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6710816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Fokina62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7618943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc96c…625ebacked Cazaux36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Cazaux37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Fokina54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Cazaux33c199.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.96944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Fokina80c193.55$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.711,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Fokina61c180.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.338562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbfe…0901backed Fokina70c172.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0b…274fbacked Fokina73c159.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6706…e61cbacked Cazaux19c156.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Fokina64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Fokina65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Fokina65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8546556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Fokina65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.859462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fokina68c148.26$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4143158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3694…4fd6backed Fokina59c134.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.631526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Fokina68c130.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.742450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Cazaux40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Fokina67c124.94$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.