Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027eeeaba097b5f3b166eace64668b2e6b327acc7c6b314ae5f03b33b51425e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,479,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,341,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,479,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 14c | 279,660$38,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,575.25 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 15c | 250,000$37,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,039.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 16c | 206,600$32,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,243.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…2c1fbacked No | 16c | 188,482$29,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,980 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…81e5backed No | 0c | 150,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 15c | 124,582$18,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,922.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 8c | 111,211$8,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,379.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 16c | 88,907$14,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,572.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…92bbbacked No | 16c | 82,782$13,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,002.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 13c | 82,362$10,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,457.59 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 15c | 80,678$12,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,101.76 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…c716backed No | 0c | 70,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 14c | 66,195$9,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,382.56 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed No | 14c | 59,719$8,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,469.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 9c | 52,717$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.45 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 17c | 51,578$8,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,737.2 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 16c | 49,999$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 10c | 45,556$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.33 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 13c | 35,482$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 13c | 28,308$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.1 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 19c | 27,431$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.43 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 10c | 27,115$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 19c | 26,290$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 15c | 25,673$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.38 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…d532backed No | 10c | 23,691$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 9c | 21,877$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.95 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed No | 15c | 21,103$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed No | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 9c | 20,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…0d28backed No | 15c | 18,880$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked No | 10c | 17,991$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked No | 12c | 16,740$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 14c | 16,429$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 80c | 15,071$12,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 15c | 14,409$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed No | 18c | 14,200$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf227…ac16backed No | 0c | 13,830$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 13,801$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…e1babacked No | 4c | 12,637$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed No | 13c | 12,529$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c8…9d80backed No | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…65adbacked No | 19c | 11,906$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed No | 13c | 11,620$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 80c | 11,614$9,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.82 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed No | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 18c | 9,480$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.6 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 11c | 9,270$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.15 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 16c | 8,954$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…87d0backed No | 6c | 8,752$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…9ad7backed No | 18c | 8,540$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…9ca6backed No | 12c | 8,270$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…2caebacked No | 2c | 8,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e3…c075backed No | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 3c | 7,458$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…b20cbacked No | 21c | 7,356$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 4c | 7,249$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.92 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 19c | 7,026$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.86 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked No | 14c | 7,021$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 17c | 7,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…69dfbacked No | 17c | 7,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…8d5fbacked No | 16c | 6,712$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…1bc3backed No | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 15c | 6,592$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked Yes | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…2604backed No | 12c | 6,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked No | 10c | 6,197$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 14c | 5,894$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…18acbacked No | 1c | 5,192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…2f7fbacked No | 17c | 4,734$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 20c | 4,300$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.96 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 21c | 4,142$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…6b60backed No | 12c | 4,057$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 17c | 3,918$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked No | 14c | 3,583$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ce54backed No | 20c | 3,504$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…4669backed No | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 16c | 3,408$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.32 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…4072backed No | 1c | 3,336$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…f947backed No | 15c | 3,292$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked No | 13c | 2,850$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 17c | 2,734$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…cfe1backed No | 2c | 2,679$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…f07cbacked No | 20c | 2,571$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…f9d6backed No | 20c | 2,386$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked No | 10c | 2,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked No | 19c | 2,190$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…212ebacked No | 13c | 2,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…a0ccbacked No | 11c | 1,968$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 18c | 1,891$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.79 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 15c | 1,842$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 19c | 1,714$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked No | 14c | 1,685$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…cd31backed Yes | 80c | 1,540$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…203cbacked No | 14c | 1,460$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…d250backed Yes | 80c | 1,399$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 10c | 1,320$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025this page
- Will Bill Spadea win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No won
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No won
- Will Josh Gottheimer win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No won
- Will Ras Baraka win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.