Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf169f6c7a57a0e385556cf5a8e1cfc58ea83d58d40d8dd21bf41cec09018e416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $779,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $735,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes | 12c | 32,047$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 6c | 26,996$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.02 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 1c | 26,266$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 6c | 21,060$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +146%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 3c | 20,525$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 1c | 18,701$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 4c | 17,583$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.52 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 4c | 17,162$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.61 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 15,069$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.81 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…882abacked Yes | 7c | 13,812$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 14c | 13,056$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 1c | 12,211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 2c | 11,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Yes | 2c | 10,485$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…7153backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…f6f4backed Yes | 2c | 8,144$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 8,016$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 7c | 7,920$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…9896backed Yes | 1c | 7,856$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 5c | 6,511$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.41 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…5cffbacked Yes | 3c | 6,406$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,334$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 11c | 6,025$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.52 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 9c | 4,924$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.95 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…9200backed Yes | 16c | 4,119$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 10c | 4,089$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.54 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…f492backed Yes | 10c | 4,025$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.63 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…b1a5backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…5d58backed Yes | 4c | 3,939$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,267$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,242$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…66fbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,227$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab3…dd6dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,927$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed Yes | 14c | 2,917$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…6b28backed Yes | 2c | 2,769$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,740$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 5c | 2,480$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…404dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,450$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 19c | 2,445$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,438$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 2,344$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,262$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,212$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…f957backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…e07cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,905$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,769$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,762$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…4793backed No | 74c | 1,700$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…0a2bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,692$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes | 13c | 1,576$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,534$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…6695backed Yes | 3c | 1,454$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76e…85e6backed Yes | 4c | 1,342$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…f9e9backed Yes | 8c | 1,309$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,286$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…5030backed Yes | 4c | 1,263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 7c | 1,253$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes | 3c | 1,205$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…bca2backed Yes | 3c | 1,170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 11c | 1,168$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 78c | 1,152$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 13c | 1,136$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 78c | 1,072$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 9c | 1,056$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…98b1backed Yes | 2c | 1,042$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 6c | 1,036$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 4c | 1,006$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 2c | 961.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…3802backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…e5fcbacked Yes | 14c | 900$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 79c | 900$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 11c | 887.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…4bd5backed Yes | 10c | 829.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes | 16c | 812$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…bd25backed Yes | 9c | 787.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 6c | 711.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…19d7backed Yes | 2c | 707$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked Yes | 11c | 693.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…4393backed Yes | 4c | 644.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c581backed Yes | 14c | 621.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 3c | 614.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…170ebacked Yes | 7c | 586.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d5…71f5backed Yes | 3c | 553.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…1b20backed Yes | 21c | 544.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…90e1backed Yes | 11c | 521.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 20c | 519.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed Yes | 5c | 512.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…dc4fbacked Yes | 20c | 508.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.