Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea5d5174cb5355eaf0f8cee780e67d0b22a6ff614ef7ec82cc2fe6ce8f4b111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,188,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,879,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,188,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 31c | 303,111$92,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,877.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 19c | 276,216$52,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,008.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 15c | 270,234$40,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,553.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 14c | 212,162$30,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,529.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…4a59backed Yes | 22c | 200,355$43,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,722.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 2c | 189,153$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 79c | 184,123$145,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,934.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 26c | 118,342$31,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,262.68 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 71c | 96,009$68,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,423.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 61c | 93,733$57,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,430.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…d5ecbacked Yes | 1c | 92,886$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 37c | 87,914$32,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,758.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 71c | 79,803$56,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,288.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…f20bbacked No | 69c | 78,859$54,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,463.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed No | 73c | 67,483$49,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,466.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 25c | 67,408$17,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,151.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 22c | 64,662$14,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,190.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Yes | 25c | 63,198$15,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,699.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 15c | 61,923$9,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,156.53 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…1f18backed Yes | 52c | 55,142$28,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,900 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 53,865$8,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,196.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 26c | 52,881$13,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,637.51 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed Yes | 17c | 49,422$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 30c | 49,272$14,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,742.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 37c | 48,327$17,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,801.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 23c | 45,121$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,410.44 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 29c | 41,229$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100.01 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 75c | 39,023$29,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 13c | 38,643$4,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,953.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 74c | 37,058$27,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,723.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 37c | 36,648$13,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,467.74 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 31c | 35,523$11,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,029.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…8bf1backed No | 58c | 34,709$20,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,642.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…c01abacked No | 63c | 34,520$21,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,909.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…d966backed No | 65c | 34,410$22,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,902.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 29c | 33,473$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 24c | 33,455$8,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,155.29 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 43c | 33,398$14,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,453.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 74c | 32,806$24,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,631.29 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 49c | 32,059$15,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,190.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…5ea2backed No | 60c | 30,767$18,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,257.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 17c | 30,718$5,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,228.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 11c | 30,542$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 28,641$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.38 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 59c | 28,385$16,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,737.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 31c | 27,829$8,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,664.21 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…aa89backed Yes | 18c | 27,178$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 68c | 27,066$18,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,657.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 34c | 26,030$8,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,882.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…a162backed No | 66c | 24,399$16,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,255.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked No | 59c | 23,477$13,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,662.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 1c | 22,681$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…3ba1backed Yes | 21c | 21,854$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed No | 72c | 21,437$15,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes | 22c | 21,383$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 2c | 21,213$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 20c | 21,066$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.62 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 24c | 21,029$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed No | 54c | 20,459$10,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,467.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 56c | 20,392$11,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,417.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 16c | 20,337$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.66 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…f8c1backed No | 70c | 19,863$13,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 68c | 19,379$13,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 79c | 19,181$15,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 12c | 18,500$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.54 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 17c | 18,381$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7af…a03fbacked Yes | 36c | 18,300$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…6180backed No | 56c | 18,231$10,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 7c | 18,158$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.29 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…8727backed Yes | 35c | 17,500$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 13c | 16,926$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.89 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 24c | 16,827$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.54 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 67c | 16,792$11,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…4e0abacked Yes | 60c | 16,696$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 16,438$10,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,332.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 39c | 16,318$6,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,391.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 25c | 16,072$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed Yes | 17c | 16,051$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 14c | 15,999$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed No | 60c | 15,942$9,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,376.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…28f9backed Yes | 31c | 15,804$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 38c | 15,650$5,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,995.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…5ba4backed Yes | 63c | 15,549$9,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,795.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 23c | 15,434$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 15,125$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 7c | 15,082$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…3e5bbacked No | 76c | 14,939$11,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…9262backed Yes | 32c | 14,769$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 14,547$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…a1dcbacked Yes | 8c | 14,487$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…3661backed No | 61c | 14,465$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 70c | 14,416$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…59dcbacked No | 77c | 14,360$11,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…6adcbacked No | 67c | 14,227$9,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 17c | 14,206$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.92 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 35c | 14,125$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,140.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 51c | 13,604$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…bfecbacked Yes | 4c | 13,577$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 62c | 13,551$8,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,420.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.