Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d16ed6f91ad7d3ffb1633e792a6b5595cbd30cf8a9f63883ade9e6e97c8bdc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,816,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,612,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,816,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821a…1f18backed Yes | 6c | 189,005$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 14c | 176,127$24,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,305.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 10c | 147,420$15,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,445.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 15c | 140,090$20,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,958.36 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 19c | 102,171$19,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,239.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 77,122$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.3 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 22c | 71,176$15,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,423.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 13c | 68,699$8,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,675.27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 15c | 56,081$8,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.34 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 3c | 50,736$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 5c | 50,238$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.94 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 17c | 49,770$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed No | 75c | 49,136$36,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 9c | 44,844$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.08 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…e8b8backed Yes | 21c | 44,465$9,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,373.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 8c | 42,011$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 12c | 41,281$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,153.67 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 77c | 37,306$28,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 8c | 35,461$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 64c | 32,416$20,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,586.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 8c | 32,153$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +146%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 10c | 29,247$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 7c | 28,835$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 2c | 27,213$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…e9c1backed Yes | 5c | 27,181$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 18c | 25,495$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed No | 73c | 25,389$18,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,824.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 7c | 24,812$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.61 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…48e4backed Yes | 21c | 24,707$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 7c | 24,685$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…4e0abacked Yes | 20c | 24,641$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 34c | 23,237$7,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,888.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 19c | 23,011$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 3c | 22,491$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…d65bbacked Yes | 21c | 22,381$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 18c | 22,279$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.97 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 6c | 21,727$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 71c | 21,516$15,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,287.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 2c | 21,378$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 74c | 20,848$15,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,386.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 20c | 20,734$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 22c | 20,208$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.19 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…5f13backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0f6ebacked Yes | 27c | 18,440$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…c36fbacked Yes | 21c | 18,263$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…c453backed Yes | 23c | 18,091$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 72c | 17,535$12,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 18c | 17,100$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 11c | 16,824$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 23c | 16,626$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 20c | 16,173$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…8bbcbacked Yes | 7c | 16,166$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 13c | 15,687$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.59 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 22c | 15,501$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.7 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 73c | 15,402$11,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 13c | 15,367$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.53 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…ad89backed No | 68c | 15,117$10,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 19c | 15,049$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 7c | 14,829$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 4c | 14,816$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a7…89cbbacked Yes | 31c | 14,776$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Yes | 27c | 14,726$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 23c | 13,888$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 5c | 13,840$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…f31fbacked Yes | 22c | 13,816$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 13,718$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…6388backed Yes | 31c | 13,695$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 31c | 13,493$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…11eebacked Yes | 7c | 13,330$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 78c | 13,272$10,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 6c | 13,068$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 70c | 12,736$8,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes | 27c | 12,689$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 12,442$9,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.05 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 5c | 12,349$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 12,241$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.12 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 13c | 12,150$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.9 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 20c | 12,000$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 77c | 11,992$9,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 10c | 11,907$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.87 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…9200backed Yes | 31c | 11,795$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 18c | 11,670$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…60fbbacked Yes | 1c | 11,634$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 9c | 11,513$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 26c | 11,218$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…62e2backed No | 78c | 11,133$8,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 3c | 11,058$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 79c | 11,000$8,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…bc55backed No | 76c | 10,620$8,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e90fbacked Yes | 27c | 10,593$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 27c | 10,576$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 6c | 10,540$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.2 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 72c | 10,174$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…4278backed No | 78c | 10,123$7,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 27c | 9,999$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 27c | 9,930$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…882abacked Yes | 13c | 9,927$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed No | 74c | 9,769$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.